Response of HAB-forming microalgae competition to ocean acidification, warming, and changing light fields

In recent years, the East China Sea (ECS) has experienced frequent harmful algal blooms (HABs), driven by the complex interplay of climate change—specifically ocean warming and acidification—and eutrophication-induced light attenuation. Despite their ecological significance, the interactive effects of these environmental stressors on the competitive dynamics between bloom-forming microalgae remain poorly understood. This study aimed to elucidate how warming, reduced light, and elevated CO2 influence the competition between two dominant diatoms. We conducted controlled monoculture and mixed-culture experiments using two key species: Skeletonema costatum and Chaetoceros curvisetus. The experimental design incorporated varying levels of CO2, temperature, and light intensity to simulate future coastal scenarios. Growth rates, peak cell densities, and successional patterns were monitored to assess competitive outcomes under multiple stressors. Monoculture results indicated that high temperature and low light intensity promoted the growth of both species. However, in mixed cultures, these conditions significantly accelerated the time to reach peak density and induced a definitive successional shift from S. costatum to C. curvisetus. Notably, while the general successional pattern was consistent, elevated CO2 further enhanced the competitive advantage of C. curvisetus, particularly when combined with high-temperature and low-light scenarios. These findings suggest that the synergy of future warming, declining light availability, and intensified ocean acidification in the ECS will likely favor C. curvisetus over S. costatum. This shift may increase the frequency of HAB events dominated by C. curvisetus, driving significant climate-related restructuring of phytoplankton communities in coastal ecosystems.