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Quarterly Guest Demand Forecasting

I’m trying to automate full-year forecasting for guest sourcing data in Excel. I have:

- 37 DMAs (Designated Marketing Areas) (ex: California)
- 234 sub trades (ex: Vancouver)
- Data available per sub trade per DMA for:

  1. YTD CY (current year cumulative bookings to last data pull)
  2. YTD LY (same point last year)
  3. L4W CY (# of guests gained or lost in the past month)
  4. L4W LY
  5. CY Target (# of guests expected by year end)
  6. LY Target
  7. CY To Go = CY Target – YTD CY
  8. LY To Go
  9. % Achieved CY (how close we are to Target)
  10. % Achieved LY

The only fixed number is the subtrade’s total target. DMA-level targets for each year are what I need to forecast for each sub trade.

I want a formula-based method in Excel to “auto generate” forecast values for each DMA. I am trying to improve upon our current model with something less manual.

What’s the best approach given these variables?

submitted by /u/WhyBePublic
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