EMNLP vs AACL commitment: Meta 3.5, reviews 3/3/4, what to do?[D]

I'm trying to decide whether to commit my ARR May 2026 paper to EMNLP or AACL. (first time solo independent author).

Final reviews after rebuttal (OA/Confidence/Excitement ):

• R1: 2.5 → 3 /3/2.5
• R2: 2.5 → 3 /4/2.5
• R3: 4 /4 /3
• Meta: 3.5 (Borderline Conference)

The meta-review was overall positive and emphasized the paper's empirical rigor, practical value, and that the rebuttal addressed the main concerns. My recollection is that the AC mentioned they were leaning toward 3.5 primarily because of the quality of the presentation/readability, rather than concerns about technical soundness(now that comment is removed/not visiable anymore).

I'm happy with either Main or Findings.

My questions:

1. Which commitment would you choose: EMNLP or AACL?
2. Which is generally considered more prestigious today?
   • EMNLP Main
   • EMNLP Findings
   • AACL Main
   • AACL Findings
3. Given this review profile (3/3/4 with a 3.5 meta), what would you estimate the chances are for EMNLP Main or Findings?